• Transporter Room 3
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    6 months ago

    Can’t wait to see the articles in 10 years about how major countries are phasing out coal in the next 10-20 years.

    Again.

    • Buelldozer@lemmy.today
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      6 months ago

      Can’t wait to see the articles in 10 years about how major countries are phasing out coal in the next 10-20 years.

      The US still has work to do but have you SEEN the decline in coal use here over the past 15 years? Right now I think the US is back to using the same amount of coal that it did in 1965! As a percentage of energy use it’s at the level it was in 1949!

      Coal use in the United States absolutely fallen off a cliff since 2008.

      • Transporter Room 3
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        6 months ago

        The optimist in me is pumped about those stats, but the cynical pedantic asshole in me wants to point out >0≠0

        Mostly I was just commenting on the fact that I keep seeing articles every few years about how some country or other has gone back on its promises to cut X by Y percent.

        Thanks for sharing the facts, though! My cynical side needs to see stuff like that to keep it at bay.

    • MrMakabar@slrpnk.net
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      6 months ago

      Between 2012 and 2022 electricity generation from coal has gone down from 2400TWh to 1427TWh for the G7. Most of that comes down to the US, Japan and Germany in that order.The UK and France have basicaly no coal left, besides some rarely running plants and Italy and Canada do exit coal a bit slowler, but do not have too much left anymore.

      To look a bit closer. The US has the inflation reduction act and is building out renewables at record pace, while gas is killing coal in most places. The speed in decline is rather rapid. Japan has closed down its nuclear power plants after Fukushima, but is restarting them about now, so a decline in coal consumption is possible. Germany did phase out all its nuclear power plants until last year, but still managed to have a decline in coal electricity generation, due to building out renewables fairly quickly. This means that should go even faster.

      So yeah, this might happen. Japan is the one to watch though. It really does not built much clean energy these days.

      • Valmond@lemmy.world
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        6 months ago

        Yep, but we need to feed the energy needs of the rest of the world (gas and coal is at its highest ever worldwide) or find something to fix that. I mean if we want to save the planet I guess.

          • Sizzler@slrpnk.net
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            6 months ago

            We mine and export as well as a large internal household market. Still lots of coal unfortunately, we may have stopped using it for power generation but it’s still being used.

        • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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          6 months ago

          What?

          There’s Ratcliffe-on-Soar and that doesn’t run all the time, and very rarely at anything approaching full power. It’s closing for good later this year.

    • TheFriar@lemm.ee
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      6 months ago

      There have actually been a few reversals from major corpos regarding climate change recently. It should be a positive thing, but I just feel like they’re seeing some scary-ass fuckin data. And their revenue predictions are due to take a nosedive when 60% of the population dies from wildfires, flood, famine, and civil strife, and now they’re working to protect their bottom line.

    • silence7@slrpnk.netOPM
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      6 months ago

      This is actually a new commitment. There have been large-scale cuts to coal uses in several of the countries already, with the UK dropping to near zero.

    • admiralteal@kbin.social
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      6 months ago

      Also replacing a lot of it with sea-shipped LNG which is not significantly better. Possibly not at all better.

      • casmael@lemm.ee
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        6 months ago

        Hey I mean tbh at least they’re not actually burning coal, so they don’t have to dig it out of the ground and whatnot. But yeah, sea shipped and lng - not great to be sure

      • faintwhenfree@lemmus.org
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        6 months ago

        We still need to get rid of all fossil fuels, but LNG is significantly better than coal almost 40% better and that includes life cycle emissions so it includes sea shipping.

        Image attached is UK based and assuming sea shipping to Japan is probably higher than this but it’s not like Japan produces its own coal, so it’s gonna be sea shipping for both of them, so differential wouldn’t change that much you can still expect at least 35% savings on emissions.

        So I would argue ultimate goal should be complete phase out of carbon emissions for sure, but LNG is significantly better than coal.

        Source

        • admiralteal@kbin.social
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          6 months ago

          Your own source specifically says to be wary: “Note that life cycle CO2 emissions depend strongly upon details of supply chains, production techniques, forestry or agricultural practice, transport distances, etc.”

          Japan’s coal imports are overwhelmingly local – AUS and Indonesia. So even just on your claim that they are importing either way, the LNG is clearly a significantly worse supply chain. And to be clear, I am not arguing that coal should be their future; they might not have much of a better choice here in the short term, but there’s also nothing to celebrate about switching to gas. They have the tech and know-how for other energy sources. They have opportunities for geothermal, expertise in nuclear, access to plenty of wind/tidal opportunities. I’m not sure how bad their landscape is for solar, though I would be a bit skeptical of any “there’s just no room!” claims for them. Instead, they’re putting huge capital into LNG, committing to longterm use of that product.

          Again, nothing to celebrate here.

          Besides which, consistently and throughout the product’s history, LNG has had its emissions massively underestimated. I see no reason to suddenly believe we’ve suddenly started getting it right.

          e.g.: https://www.research.howarthlab.org/publications/Howarth_LNG_assessment_preprint_archived_2023-1103.pdf

          The cause of this is a long series of serious, terrible problems in the LNG supply chain from methane leaks at production sites to various leaky infrastructure at surface transportation to leaks at the export/import hubs (not to even mention the enormous energy costs of condensation). These issues that have so far largely gone unaccounted for in estimates that predicted how “diet” the fossil gas would be compared to coal, leading to a LOT of people holding a now orthodox belief that LNG is massively better that is, to say the least, highly optimistic.

          When you also factor in things like the goddamn bunker oil used to transport the stuff, all that efficiency is gobbled up.

          Anyone serious about climate, at this point, should be operating on the assumption that shipped LNG is no better than coal because the evidence we have that it is better is, frankly, really bad.

          • faintwhenfree@lemmus.org
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            6 months ago

            Further digging down now, I think you have a point, UK quotes Natural gas that’s uncompressed, LNG will add more on those factors. So howarth LNG assessment probably makes more sense here.

            However couple of things that bother me

            1. Study compares domestic coal and shipped LNG, not sure how reasonable that comparison is
            2. Japan is not pushing more capital on LNG, their stupidity is jumping directly to hydrogen/ammonia based economy

            Also I am not advocating for starting new LNG based plants, any new investment should be towards renewables. But if there is flexibility of shifting loads between existing plants, one should prefer LNG over coal.

          • Spzi@lemm.ee
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            6 months ago

            Japan’s coal imports are overwhelmingly local – AUS and Indonesia.

            That’s roughly as local as France or GB to US east cost, similar distance and similar other differences. IMHO both connections aren’t even regional anymore. But yeah, it’s fairly short what coal import routes concerns.

    • silence7@slrpnk.netOPM
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      6 months ago

      Me too, though it’s going to take a bunch of on-the-ground action to go from a commitment to an actual phase-out.

  • Alexstarfire@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    If I could find a taker I would bet my life savings, and the next 10 years worth, that this will not happen in 10 years. I’ll be shocked if it happens in my lifetime and I’m not even 40.

  • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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    6 months ago

    Well the UK at least has this one sorted.

    The last remaining one is a few miles from my house, and is scheduled to be closed in September.

    • Wanderer@lemm.ee
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      6 months ago

      They going to build anything there? Wind/solar and use the grid connection?

      Or is this going to be another wood burning thing?

      • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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        6 months ago

        Looks like it will be demolished rather than converted for wood burning.

        What they’ll build there is anyone’s guess. I can find articles getting very excited about it being an “energy hub for innovation and business”, which means absolutely nothing, and makes me think they’ve received no concrete offers but want a lot of money for the land…

        • Wanderer@lemm.ee
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          6 months ago

          Yea that’s horseshit.

          Bet the land isn’t even that valuable. Old power station land probably not even close to an urban hub. Who wants that?

          • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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            6 months ago

            This is legit the picture they’ve got on their site trying to sell it.

            I’m going to guess it ends up being an ASDA warehouse or something.

            Edit: I forgot HS2 was supposed to stop right next to it, before it was cancelled. It might have been worth something then. But now it’s just some coal dust polluted land. I’m guessing they’re not going to be allowed to sell it for housing due to that.

            • Wanderer@lemm.ee
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              6 months ago

              Oh the HS2 think maybe could have done something good. Might have been worth removing tonnes of soil and replacing it with tonnes of soil.

              Can’t be remotely as valuable now. HS2 was such a cock up. I’m actually reading a book about railways. Fuck could the Victorians get stuff done. Pick and shovel, no messing.

              • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
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                6 months ago

                Given HS2 has already cost more than most European countries spend doing entire network expansions I’m pretty sure it was a massive success for its intended purpose.

                • Wanderer@lemm.ee
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                  6 months ago

                  The UK does things like include railways stations in the project, European countries don’t. Hence the large cost difference.

                  But it needs to be done. We still have lines that are 150 years old. It will be worth it.

                  Even the shinkansen was over budget and unpopular when being built. Now nobody would argue it wasn’t amazing.

  • Auzy@beehaw.org
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    6 months ago

    The only problem will be the right wingers who complain.

    Here in Australia, many trainee pilots actually fly near a coal power plant as part of their first nav training. You can smell it LONG before you’re anywhere near it. I seriously don’t think people realise just how bad Coal is, and how far the pollution stretches for (if they did, they’d immediately change their mind and want to dump it)

    • zaphod@sopuli.xyz
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      6 months ago

      I used to live close to a coal power plant in Germany and there were never any smells, so now I wonder don’t they use filters in Australia?

      • Auzy@beehaw.org
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        6 months ago

        You don’t notice them on the ground. But, up in the air in a light aircraft, you can follow the smell long before you can see the power plant

  • DAMunzy@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    6 months ago

    The Group of Seven (G7) is an intergovernmental political and economic forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States

    I seriously doubt the US’s ability to do this.

    • ChicoSuave@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      That’s the beauty of announcing this now: France can start exporting to other countries outside the G7 and offer cheap coal. Then France (or whichever G7 country) can wind down the coal production in line with the country’s domestic usage.

      Now it isn’t lying when you say that coal production is down (happy enviros) and the country is doing it’s part to lower emissions (happy constituents). The numbers also show that hydrocarbon sales are up in foreign countries that have become addicted to cheap fuel (happy corps).

      As long as you don’t look at the numbers going into this, it’s going to be a bundle of good news in 10 years. No actual change to the climate and global emissions but it looks good on paper!

      • Buelldozer@lemmy.today
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        6 months ago

        No actual change to the climate and global emissions but it looks good on paper!

        I can’t speak for France but here in the United States the use of coal has absolutely fallen off a cliff since 2008. It’s down by nearly 60% since then and overall coal use is about what it was in 1965.

        Edit: Coal production is also down by about the same amount. So maybe France is playing the “raise it before lowering it” game but that’s not happening in all of the G7 nations.

        • MrMakabar@slrpnk.net
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          6 months ago

          France had 0.9TWh of coal electricity production last year. That is 0.5% of electricity generation.

    • zaphod@sopuli.xyz
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      6 months ago

      The exception is that this is just about coal and electricity/heating and only in the G7 countries.

    • silence7@slrpnk.netOPM
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      6 months ago

      None that I can tell. Digging up and burning coal is a fairly expensive way to generate electricity, and the particulates it produces kill a lot of people. So its in peoples’ interest to put a stop to it.

    • zaphod@sopuli.xyz
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      6 months ago

      Probably, but you have to build up alternatives and that takes time. And don’t forget politics is a huge popularity contest and there are way too many people who’d rather burn coal than have a solar panel or wind turbine anywhere near their property. There are people in Germany who don’t want wind farms near their house, but they also don’t want any high voltage transmission lines either, imagine how much fun it is to build any infrastructure in regions like that.

  • Ænima@lemm.ee
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    6 months ago

    Sucks for Germany and their recent resurgence of coal plants and decommissioning of nuclear.

      • thbb@lemmy.world
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        6 months ago

        Rising costs of energy starting Feb 22 is the cause of the last huge dip. As a matter of fact, rising the price of energy and the ensuing economic slowdown is still the most effective way to to reduce GHG. Being frugal is the only way to reach 0 emissions in spite of whatever rosy paint one wants to put on green energy, housing renovation and other half-effective measures.

  • Retrograde@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    Isn’t Germany doubling down on coal at the moment/bringing plants back online?

    Edit: I was not correct, thanks for clarifying