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Joined 7 months ago
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Cake day: December 14th, 2023

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  • Exploitation will increase with workers rights likely being eroded.

    Prices are going to increase, both due to less cheap resources and deindustrialization. Perhaps even with some companies moving to poorer countries where such industries might be in demand and also as a means to avoid potential sanctions/trying to get into better trading regions.

    Massive quality of life will see people moving out, with the difference to the periphery being that many who migrated there might return to their countries.

    Sanctions and might be used against the imperial core.

    Interferences and coups will also lilkely begin happening as well, both from outsiders as well as the better off imperial core countries trying to assert themselves over their neighbours.

    Wars are a possibility as well.

    And so on.


  • However, history is poised to repeat itself with a similar outcome of chaos and disillusionment. The misguided belief that language models can replace the human workforce will yield hilarious yet unfortunate results.

    Even if AI can’t be much better than what has already been demonstrated, which I don’t think is the case but let’s consider it, there are already quite a few jobs which can be at least partially automated and that can already change the world by so much, even if only by having permanent unemployment at above 10-20% for every country, or by the bourgeoisie accepting to reduce worked hours to only a few so the system doesn’t collapse.


  • I disagree a little with the 5 years part as I can see a small chance of “a collapse” happening within that time, but as for the 30 years part it seems possible too.

    As they have to steal ever more from their own populations and can steal less from the Global South they will become weaker and fractured, and if, for example, this happens in some parts before others it can lead to fascism in some countries in Europe which might see their neighbors in better shape as enemies, potentially leading to western infighting and an acceleration of their own collapse.

    Hopefully such a scenario the conflicts stay internal instead of going global and they only weaken themselves while the rest of the world prosper. And in such a scenario we could even see Global Sout countries with enough power to massively influence western countries perhaps even leading to imperialism against them as the Global South is unlikely to go communist so fast.

    Other scenarios might be more plausible though…




  • New robots are also using LLMs both for understanding their enviroment with cameras, rather than complicated sensors that might not understand the world as we do, and for controlling movement by basically taking in the data from the robot and what other LLMs understand from the enviroment and predicting what inputs are needed to move correctly for movement or doing any tasks.

    As the LLMs get better they can also come up with better strategies too, which is already being used to some extent to have them create, test and fix codes based on output and error messages and this should soon allow fully autonomous robots as well that can think by themselves and interact with the world leading to many advancements, like full automation of work and scientific discoveries.





  • That all looks quite nice, just wonder how much change this will bring but it might not be much for now. They haven’t even set a number for how many employee representatives would be on the border of directors. But nevertheless, having the workers in positions of power should begin to change things and give other employees a taste of how things could be.

    And an advantage of the law still being somewhat loose is that it should be easier to improve it later this way, by looking at what workers do, rather than setting something with problems that is then hard to go back on. Though they do need to improve on it.



  • is just not something that Iran would ever do, for religious and moral reasons.

    That is a good point.

    Perhaps Iran could find a middle ground between nukes and doing nothing of the sort, like destroying all power generation of the colonists next time sothing happens or even iradiating oil wells, or just holding the US responsible for the colonists attacks because if they are already sending missiles to one nuclear armed entity they might as well send to two.!?

    Either way, this attack has shown that they can and will do something, but how much they are willing to do against the imperialists is indeed still an open question.


  • Very interesting article and these points are pretty interesting themselves:

    Firstly, one of the common counterarguments is that Israel possesses nuclear weapons, which ultimately trumps anything Iran can throw at them. But in reality, now that Iran has proven the ability to penetrate Israel, Iran too can cause nuclear devastation by striking the Israeli Dimona nuclear power plant. Destroyed nuclear plants would produce far more radioactive chaos than the relatively ‘clean’ modern nuclear weapons. Furthermore, Israel is much smaller than the comparatively gigantic Iran. Iran can take many nuclear hits and survive; but a single mass nuclear event in Israel could irradiate the entire country, making it uninhabitable.

    This by itself is a pretty big point, and with Iran’s “New Equation” of responding “head on” to further colonist entity attacks on its personnel this could indeed mark a big shift in the dynamics of the region.



  • LLMs would probably be best used in systems, like multiple LLMs and normal programs each with their strenghs covering the other’s weaknesses. And perhaps having programs, or even other LLMs that shut it off if anything goes wrong.

    Something weird happened to a robot?

    The brain or part of it (as there can be multiple LLMs toghether each trained to do one or a few things only) or a more powerful LLM overseeing many robots identifies that and stop it, waiting for a better LLM offsite or a human to say something.

    I mean, if the thing happening is so weird that there is no data about it available then perhaps not even a human would be able to deal well with it, meaning that an LLM doesn’t need to be perfect to be very useful.

    Even if the robots had problems and would bug out causing a lot of damage we could still take a lot of people away from work and let the robots to do it if the robots can work and make enough to replenish their own losses by themselves. And with time any problem should be fixable anyway, so we might as well try.




  • With the Yemeni enforced blockade I was thinking about this too but with the Panama Canal and how it closing could be a massive boost for the Global South by making resource transportation very expensive and such things, but looking at it now it apparently is, or was recently, already being affected by draught losing one third of normal traffic. So I guess anything else impeding or slowing global trade in the next few months could have massive consequences when taken toghether with the other events.