The point being made is that “the rest of the entire Hezbollah leadership” has not been wiped out, and Hezbollah’s structure has been developed to specifically mitigate a strategy of assassination. Every person who gets killed has a competent replacement before the day is out.
But to answer your question: I would not be surprised if Israel has gone harder than the Resistance expected. Perhaps they imagined that Israel’s reluctance to meaningfully attack Lebanon after so many months meant that they were too afraid to make big moves out of fear of reprisal. Therefore, the sudden severity of the attacks may have caught them off-guard. If that is the case, then over the coming days and weeks, we will hopefully see a course correction by Hezbollah and friends towards more daring moves - it is hard to boil a frog if it’s hopping around and splashing that boiling water over you as well.
I don’t think recent events have substantially shifted the conflict, we’re still mostly in the same lane towards the destruction of Israel albeit with some significant speedbumps.
Aside from the tagging, I do actually think you’re right in this comment at least. I like to think I’m fairly consistent - anybody who’s seen the pro-Resistance side on media has seen how they went on and on about how all the news that Nasrallah was assassinated was actually a massive psyop to get Nasrallah to reveal his location and that he was definitely still alive. I was willing to humor it, but did not believe it.
One should be able to bring up how they were simply incorrect, no ifs, ands, or buts - Nasrallah was in fact killed in the attack. Going “Now’s not the time, look at what just happened!” is understandable, especially for people here with strong ties to Lebanon or the Resistance - mourning is perfectly allowed here, communists are not emotionless Vulcans that only spit out logical analysis - but if they talking about how it was just a big psyop, then it’s not honest. This doesn’t apply to users like LargePenis obviously, who said as it was happening that things were looking bleak based on their sources. If the “bloomer” side fails to produce good predictions here and there, then we/they have no place to lecture the “doomer” side just because they also have had bad predictions here and there.
I am anti-defeatist, but I am far from delusional. It is true that Hezbollah has a strong organizational structure that prevents assassinations from crippling it. It is also true that there’s been some extremely visible fuckups in Hezbollah that cannot just be dismissed as a mere unfortunate cosmic accident. What the hell was Nasrallah and a high-up Iranian official doing near a residential building in Beirut on the eve of war? Similar cases for the other martyred Hezbollah officials lately. If it was entirely out of nowhere in a world where October 7th didn’t happen and there was no war, then a lapse in guard is understandable, but good leadership is valuable and should be protected to the greatest degree reasonable even if it is ultimately replaceable; and Israel was already bombing Lebanese cities, Israel had found a big way into the supply chain and any device could be an informant, so you have to be VERY careful! It’s not paranoia if they’re actually out to get you!
I am absolutely willing to see reality. There’s a very big reason why I refused to believe the rumors, even from officials, that he was alive, and maintained neutrality on it! We all saw this before, with Raisi!