All my new code will be closed-source from now on. I’ve contributed millions of lines of carefully written OSS code over the past decade, spent thousands of hours helping other people. If you want to use my libraries (1M+ downloads/month) in the future, you have to pay.

I made good money funneling people through my OSS and being recognized as expert in several fields. This was entirely based on HUMANS knowing and seeing me by USING and INTERACTING with my code. No humans will ever read my docs again when coding agents do it in seconds. Nobody will even know it’s me who built it.

Look at Tailwind: 75 million downloads/month, more popular than ever, revenue down 80%, docs traffic down 40%, 75% of engineering team laid off. Someone submitted a PR to add LLM-optimized docs and Wathan had to decline - optimizing for agents accelerates his business’s death. He’s being asked to build the infrastructure for his own obsolescence.

Two of the most common OSS business models:

  • Open Core: Give away the library, sell premium once you reach critical mass (Tailwind UI, Prisma Accelerate, Supabase Cloud…)
  • Expertise Moat: Be THE expert in your library - consulting gigs, speaking, higher salary

Tailwind just proved the first one is dying. Agents bypass the documentation funnel. They don’t see your premium tier. Every project relying on docs-to-premium conversion will face the same pressure: Prisma, Drizzle, MikroORM, Strapi, and many more.

The core insight: OSS monetization was always about attention. Human eyeballs on your docs, brand, expertise. That attention has literally moved into attention layers. Your docs trained the models that now make visiting you unnecessary. Human attention paid. Artificial attention doesn’t.

Some OSS will keep going - wealthy devs doing it for fun or education. That’s not a system, that’s charity. Most popular OSS runs on economic incentives. Destroy them, they stop playing.

Why go closed-source? When the monetization funnel is broken, you move payment to the only point that still exists: access. OSS gave away access hoping to monetize attention downstream. Agents broke downstream. Closed-source gates access directly. The final irony: OSS trained the models now killing it. We built our own replacement.

My prediction: a new marketplace emerges, built for agents. Want your agent to use Tailwind? Prisma? Pay per access. Libraries become APIs with meters. The old model: free code -> human attention -> monetization. The new model: pay at the gate or your agent doesn’t get in.

    • TheAgeOfSuperboredom@lemmy.ca
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      9 days ago

      And when someone like Kat Marchán tried to raise awareness they get chased off the internet because an LLM did something OK a couple times.

        • TheAgeOfSuperboredom@lemmy.ca
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          They recently put together a list of software that was built using AI and a bunch of AI people didn’t take too kindly to it. The list has since been taken down and Kat has decided to take a break from open source software.

          Most of the people on the list seemed pretty reasonable and were engaging in conversation about it. But emotions did begin to flare a bit and things got a bit out of hand. There are some conversations on Bluesky you might be able to find, but I think Kat also removed their account so the conversations might appear very one-sided.

          It’s a very unfortunate outcome I feel. There are people on both sides of the debate whom I respect, Kat included.

      • PixelPinecone@lemmy.today
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        8 days ago

        Exaaaactly. None of this would be a problem if everyone’s basic necessities were a guarantee: housing, food, water, essential utilities. Think of all the cool stuff we’d have if all these OSS developers weren’t worried about putting food on the table. I would give zero shits if my open source work was “stolen” to make a profit by some giant company if I didn’t have to worry about making enough money to survive.

    • tate@lemmy.sdf.org
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      7 days ago

      Billionaires are why we can’t have nice things. And also why we have LLMs.

      It’s correlation, not causation.

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    I mean, the elephant in the room is the blatant licence violations orchestrated by LLM vendors. If your codebase is GPLed and serves to feed a LLM, it should extend to all the code produced by that LLM.

    For decades, the FOSS community has been at each others throats about those licenses, and now that we contemplate the largest IP theft/reappropriation of all time, it’s like, not big a deal. I can’t tell that I’m a prolific OSS contributor, but enough to understand the sentiment: “I put code in the open to help humanity, not to make oligarchs better off with a newfound mandate to pollute”.

    • aberrate_junior_beatnik (he/him)@midwest.social
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      I mean, the elephant in the room is the blatant licence violations orchestrated by LLM vendors. If your codebase is GPLed and serves to feed a LLM, it should extend to all the code produced by that LLM.

      This seems so obvious to me, but this is the first time I’ve seen this argument in the wild.

      But I guess the AI companies are basically arguing that copyright doesn’t apply to them at all, so it’s moot.

    • E_coli42@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      Technically the act of incorporating code into a model’s weights does not trigger GPL’s redistribution clause, so they are legally in the right even though morally you shouldn’t scrape copylefted code into a model that can be used to create non-copylefted code.

      • u_tamtam@programming.dev
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        Well, once again, that’s just my hot/IANAL take, but when those weights serve to store information in a way that can easily be extracted losslessly (check-out “model extraction attacks”), we should stop treating them as “just weights”.

        • E_coli42@lemmy.world
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          I agree on a moral standpoint, but unfortunately this does not hold up legally. Even for licenses specifically targeted in addressing AI outputs to count as derivative works like RAIL, I couldn’t find any case of it holding up in a US court. The best course of action might just be to add bot-filtering to whatever Git instance you host your copylefted works on until this issue has a legal solution. I’m curious on the FSF’s stance on AI output counting as derived works and if they’d ever consider a GPLv4 or new license to explicitly target AI. Couldn’t find anything online.

          • u_tamtam@programming.dev
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            7 days ago

            Its not lossless.

            Except for when it is, and even when it’s not, there is a fine line leading to calling that plagiarism.

        • Kazumara@discuss.tchncs.de
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          7 days ago

          check-out “model extraction attacks”

          The search results I’m seeing for that term point to people extracting (a clone of) the model, through interacting with the available API of an otherwise closed model. I’m not really seeing anyone interacting with a model to extract its training input data.

          Is there a better search term, or do you have a more direct reference to lossless extraction of training data from model weights?

      • BenjiRenji@feddit.org
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        7 days ago

        So these weights don’t count as “derived works” because they are not code, but can only be used to generate code (among many other things) in conjunction with an LLM architecture?

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    8 days ago

    I find it incredible, how uncharitable some of these comments here are. As an open source contributor myself, I also really don’t like the fact, that my work just gets stolen and profited of by big companies without my permission.

    Even the nicest, most idealist engineer still needs to be able to live from his work. I am not saying he is, but he is completely within his right to protect his work from abuse.

    Free software shouldn’t mean, that every company can use our code in any way, they like and open source licenses still have terms, for example copyleft licenses, like GPLv3, still require work, which is based on that code to be licensed with the same terms and appropriately credited. AI companies are clearly not abiding by these terms and aren’t really prosecuted for that.

    We should be angry at the companies misusing our work instead of open source devs who have had enough.

    • JustEnoughDucks@feddit.nl
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      This is the best comment of the thread.

      So many people are nitpicking his post or criticizing the platform that he shares it on (let’s me honest, linkedIN has a much wider impact than the fediverse if something “goes corporate viral”). People deserve to be compensated for their work.

      We shouldn’t be mad at the devs trying to make a living, even those who have different views about what open source is. We should be banding together against the companies who’s entire business model is based on theft and abuse. New anti-AI licenses specifically, techniques to poison AI data baked into every repo, class action lawsuits against companies, etc…

      Once Universal Basic Income gets implemented and you don’t need to be paid directly for your work to survive, then we bicker incessantly about the finer points of the real definition of open source.

    • Zexks@lemmy.world
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      Bullhlshit. You think they werent using your libraries before for profit.

      Free software shouldnt mean that every company can use our code in anyway they like.

      That is exactly what free means. I have never seen people write attributions for nuget or js packages used.

  • w3dd1e@lemmy.zip
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    9 days ago

    I’m conflicted on this post. OSS does a lot of good as a whole, but regardless of monetization, I don’t want any of my work training an AI. I can respect that portion of his opinion.

    • pulsewidth@lemmy.world
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      His opinion is actually that AI can use his code no problem, they just have to pay a fee.

      The problem is that the big LLM AI companies will just say… ‘Fuck off’, because they don’t like paying for any data, and they also think their models will be advanced enough to write their own libraries soon (if not now, depending how much they believe their own marketing hype).

      Pricing is an additional unanswered problem in his new model. As a hypothetical: if 1000 traditional OSS users generate $1000 value in conversion to paid users in his old model - what would an AI license cost? Because one license (eg to Anthropic/Claude) would theoretically be cutting off millions of users, maybe 80%+ of his userbase. Would he ask for millions as a licensing fee?

      Whole idea is half-baked IMO, but I am sympathetic to the bullshit situation he finds himself in.

      • DeckPacker@lemmy.world
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        I think this model, however it may work will still be better than what we have currently though. If we can even attempt to charge AI-companies for the training data, that would be a huge step. Because the current model is just they take everything, that they can get their hands on.

        And if that makes AI-devellopment ecomically unviable, that’s a really good thing

      • w3dd1e@lemmy.zip
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        You’re right. Personally, I’d rather support FOSS development. His justification isn’t 100% right but some of the idea resonates with me.

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    9 days ago

    No shade at all on this guy’s expertise or work, or even the point about LLMs being made. But based on this I’d have to say this is not written by a software developer. This is written by a businessman in the software industry.

    • chobeat@lemmy.ml
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      8 days ago

      God forbid a technical person becomes an adult and starts understanding power, money, and politics. Engineers should be babies playing with their toys and being idealistic and irresponsible about their impact on the world.

      • JakenVeina@midwest.social
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        There’s a big difference between being an adult and seeing everything exclusively through the lens of how it can be used to turn a profit for yourself or some other capitalist.

        • DeckPacker@lemmy.world
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          I think this guy just wants to be payed for all of his work. If big companies start to skip the part of even crediting him for the that they stole without his permission, I can understand his decision to deny them that ability.

    • PolarKraken@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Would you say more? Are you saying he hasn’t contributed the open source stuff he claims? Or that someone else wrote this for him? Something else?

      • JakenVeina@midwest.social
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        No no, nothing like that. There just seems to be a baseline attitude in the blog post that monetization is the end goal of all OSS. Like, the idea that OSS developers deserve to be compensated fairly for their work, I fully support, but I don’t read that as the argument being made here. It reads more as “OSS is no longer a viable way to make money, so I’m going closed-source.”

        • PolarKraken@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          Okay, I see what you mean. I’m usually pretty sensitive to things that smell like exploitation for financial gain, and it didn’t trigger that response for me.

          But after hearing some of the less hostile takes here (like yours) I think I have to acknowledge it’s me, there may be some bias I’m unaware of going into my reading on this one.

          Thanks for elaborating.

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      8 days ago

      Right, Linux kernel development is free, philanthropic work, with zero incentive for profit, funded by IBM, Google… 🙄

      Still no?

      wheels out Firefox

      If Google didn’t foot the bill, Chrome would be your only browser, also, funded by economic incentives. If Firefox exists, there’s no monopoly, which to Google, is why it exists.

      • fodor@lemmy.zip
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        One browser to own them all would have made the anti monopoly cases against Google even stronger, and it would have been broken up a decade ago.

        I know US antitrust is mostly a joke, but Google has already lost multiple times, and the only question is the scope of the remedies, so this is an easy bit of guesswork.

        • BenjiRenji@feddit.org
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          7 days ago

          Question is whether they would lose now with the US government even more captured by special interest and money.

      • FishFace@piefed.social
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        That’s not a citation, only considers two projects, and doesn’t even try to make the claim that the majority is corporate funding, though I checked and apparently that is true for the kernel.

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    Posting on linked in… Almost didn’t read it. Complains about one thing while putting it on a walled garden data harvesting Microsoft tool.

    Wtf.

    • Sims@lemmy.ml
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      Yup, capitalism is the root cause of ‘ai-slop’. We always had it through capitalism. The name of the game is to spit out cheap products on the market. Just getting the ad profits from random search hits, is enough to sustain players on markets. There’s an economic incentive for all slop we see on the net yesterday and today.

      ANY tool that accelerates the quantity of their products/increases search presence will be exploited. Kill the economic incentive, and you kill ‘ai-slop’…

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    That just powers big companies more.

    Hobby programmers can’t mess around with anything due to the price while companies buy tools, compilers, and libraries as they like??

    This reads like they just wanted an excuse about their slowly upcoming greed.

  • calm.like.a.bomb@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    9 days ago

    Open source should not be about making money. If you start an open source project with the idea that some time in the future you’ll make money, then it’s already a lost cause. I’m with Stallman on this, even though I despise him as a person.

    • fartsparkles@lemmy.world
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      Stallman would disagree with you, I believe. The Free Software Moment has never been about not making money, it’s about liberty with the software you use. Free as in freedom, not free as in beer; free as in libre, not free as in gratis.

      Quote from FSF:

      Many people believe that the spirit of the GNU Project is that you should not charge money for distributing copies of software, or that you should charge as little as possible—just enough to cover the cost. This is a misunderstanding.

      Actually, we encourage people who redistribute free software to charge as much as they wish or can.

      • PixelPinecone@lemmy.today
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        That is NOT the same as saying one should expect to make money from developing free software. It just means if you’re in a position where you can charge money, you should and for as much as it’s worth.

      • hobata@lemmy.ml
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        Well, the free as a beer is a logical consequence of of free as in libre. You have the right to distribute the software when you receive it. And you can do so free of charge for third parties.

    • kibiz0r@midwest.social
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      Money-making is an orthogonal issue. LLMs subvert engagement with open source projects, which is important for their health whether or not there’s anyone trying to monetize that engagement.

      • eleijeep@piefed.social
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        It’s not an orthogonal issue when it is literally the subject of the article that this comment section is about.

        The author of the original post is whining that open-core business models are dead because they have no conversion pipeline. Whether or not you agree with them, you can’t claim that money-making is not a relevant topic for discussion.

    • Renohren@lemmy.today
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      As Stallman said: " it’s free as in Free speech not as in Free beer".

      Money in FOSS keeps projects going.

      But as another said: in the case of LLM agents, monetisation is a way to get the automated skimming out of their lives. It eats resources, time, causes havoc on hosts…

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      Blender is an example of open source that “makes money”, even though it’s not for profit. They get donations and the devs get paid a living wage. Nobody in the Blender foundation is making a killing, but if they couldn’t bring in funds to sustain it, Blender would wither away.

    • 0_o7@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Then you should have no problem forking these repos and continue maintaining them for free.

      Thank you for your service.

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        What a ridiculous response.

        They said don’t start an open source project with the idea of making money, why would you suggest they should personally take over all of those projects that were started with the idea of making money?

        What?

        How about they just don’t use them when they become proprietary? They aren’t popular projects because their devs are extra brilliant or special, it’s because they’re free (libre), and the moment you restrict that freedom you lose the interest of a significant portion of the user base.

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    7 days ago

    God, this post makes me so mad.

    I understand that not everyone has the privilege to distribute knowledge for social good. I’m in a privileged position–my day job provides more than enough money for a dignified life, so my own code I release is almost always strong-copylefted and for genuine social good rather than survival.

    Seeing so many posts thinking a proper “solution” to web scraping for AI training is closing off knowledge by default worries me. Gatekeeping code/art/knowledge shrinks the commons that made all of this possible. Nobody owes us attention, brand recognition, or monetization. Free Open Source Software exists to protect society’s freedom to study, modify, and share the tools it depends on for social good, not for monetization or attention.

    I noticed OP used Micro$oft’s GitHub, notorious for mass AI crawling. You can’t rely on THE worst platform for scraping and then complain about it. Host using Forgejo or similar, and use solutions that don’t restrict user freedoms: bot filtering, rate limits, pay-per-crawl, etc.

    I think the root problem is that in capitalism, markets often don’t sustainably fund public goods–but that’s a political problem–not something individual maintainers should solve by privatizing knowledge. Continue to vote for and spread leftist ideas of restructuring society to encourage funding of public goods like Free Open Source Software rather than giving up and abandoning your FOSS values.

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    Posts code on GitHub (Microsoft) Complains on LinkedIn about AI stealing open source code (Microsoft)

    Why would the open source community do this to me???

    Lol no I get it, AI is coming to devour us all, and it is just waiting until it can gets enough nourishment from code

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    If they are allowed to train on OSS code then the same is true of proprietary code, they use the same legal mechanisms. Get your code off GitHub…

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        Well, closed source doesn’t imply off github. Plenty of orgs have their closed source code on github.

        Hope he at least has the sense to move to some other hosting solution though.